Al doilea mandat al preşedintelui american Donald Trump ar putea contribui la „consolidarea UE ca actor global” dacă UE reuşeşte să valorifice oportunităţile comerciale şi politice care i se prezintă şi dacă îşi transformă economia fără să se abată de la angajamentul său faţă de tranziţia digitală şi cea verde, scrie EFE, citând concluzia raportului anual privind starea UE al Fundaţiei Alternative, redactat de un grup de experţi şi publicat miercuri, care analizează – printre altele – impactul revenirii la putere în SUA a lui Donald Trump.
„Trăim un moment de oarecare frustrare pentru europenişti (…), cu o nouă creştere a celor care doresc să pună la îndoială proiectul european, atât în interiorul graniţelor noastre, cât şi în afara acestora”, a amintit la evenimentul de prezentare a raportului secretarul de stat spaniol pentru UE, Fernando Sampedro, potrivit Agerpres
În acest context, exacerbat de alegerea lui Donald Trump în fruntea SUA exact în urmă cu un an, panorama pare sumbră pentru UE, care însă, dacă îşi joacă bine cărţile, poate ajunge „consolidată ca actor global”, consideră profesorul de relaţii internaţionale Francisco Aldecoa.
„Se formează două lumi occidentale: Statele Unite, de o parte, şi Europa de cealaltă parte, căzând de acord tot mai puţin în privinţa problemelor”, scrie Aldecoa în raport.
În opinia sa, UE poate câştiga influenţă şi lidership în acest scenariu dacă nu renunţă la valori precum multilateralismul, comerţul liber şi concepţia sa „completă şi exigentă” asupra drepturilor omului.
„Începutul ostil faţă de Europa” al celui de-al doilea mandat al preşedintelui Trump a avut, argumentează Aldecoa, o „influenţă pozitivă” asupra dezvoltării UE, cu rezultate precum impulsionarea acordului cu Mercosur, pentru care „chiar s-a stabilit o dată” de semnare, deşi acum un an exista o minoritate de blocaj în Consiliul European.
„În faţa politicii lui Trump, sau datorită acesteia, se obţine, pe de o parte, o coeziune între membrii UE şi, pe de altă parte, o apropiere faţă de alţi parteneri, precum Regatul Unit, ceva spectaculos în decurs de câteva luni”, subliniază Aldecoa, care observă, de asemenea, o mai mare cooperare cu Canada, Norvegia sau Elveţia.
În plus, acesta consideră că preşedinţia lui Trump va „accelera procesul” de extindere a UE şi este probabil ca cel puţin Muntenegru şi Albania să poată intra în bloc înainte de 2030.
În viziunea lui Pablo Garde, un alt autor al raportului, subsecretar în Ministerul Industriei, Comerţului şi Turismului, reindustrializarea poate fi un element esenţial în vederea obiectivului UE de a vorbi de la egal la egal cu SUA şi China şi de a-şi putea „apăra valorile”.
„Trebuie să reindustrializăm Europa deoarece nu trebuie să pierdem cursa inovării o dată pentru totdeauna” a subliniat Garde la evenimentul de lansare a raportului, subliniind urgenţa unei mai mari „integrări a pieţei unice”.
Pentru aceasta, afirmă Garde în raport, trebuie „să folosim decarbonizarea ca pârghie de inovaţie” şi să menţinem accentul pe transformarea digitală.
UE a mizat, de asemenea, pe creşterea cheltuielilor pentru apărare, dar, potrivit altui autor al raportului, locotenent-generalul Jose Enrique de Ayala, este o eroare să aspirăm la un obiectiv în termeni de PIB, precum cel de 5% stabilit de NATO, care, după părerea sa, este „arbitrar” şi ghidat de interesele SUA.
La rândul său, directorul fundaţiei Alternative, Diego Lopez Garrido, a pledat pentru creşterea bugetului european. „Europa economiseşte de trei ori mai mult decât SUA, dar investeşte mult mai puţin”, a regretat Garrido în prefaţa raportului.
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